Paul Goble
Staunton, May 23 – The percentage of
Russians who say they do not want to have children has risen from six percent
in 2005, during Putin’s first term, to 18 percent now, according to VTsIOM
polls. Over the same period, those who say that having children is their main motive
for marriage has fallen from 39 percent to 25.
Commenting on this change, Nikolay
Yaremenko, chief editor of the Rosbalt news agency and an instructor at Moscow’s
Finance University, argues that there are five reasons for this change and that
Moscow must take them seriously (rosbalt.ru/news/2025-05-22/trevozhnaya-demografiya-pochemu-rossiyane-vse-chasche-ne-hotyat-imet-detey-5395370).
First of all, he says, there are
economic reasons. “The birth and education of a child in present-day Russia is
a colossal financial burden.” The cost of housing, education, medical services
and “even the simplest goods for children” is constantly going up, and
potential parents don’t see any prospect that this will change anytime soon.
Second, the Russian government provides
far less than it did in terms of social infrastructure. As a result, the
burdens fall on potential parents; and ever more of them do not believe that
they will be able or at least want to bear those burdens so that they can bring
more children into the world.
Third, Yaremenko continues, there
has been a significant shift in the values of the population in the direction
of individualism and a desire for self-realization, a trend that has further
reduced the attractiveness of having children however much the authorities may
encourage Russians to do so.
Fourth, there are psychological
factors at work, including fears about what conditions will be like in the
future. And fifth, in addition to all these things, the media helps create a
model of parenting that few real people are prepared or even able to meet.
Consequently, they refuse to have children.
To ignore these shifts and the
reasons behind them, as the government is now doing, the commentator says, “means
to ignore the voice of a significant part of its own population.” What needs to
happen instead, Yaremenko argues, is to analyze what is going on and take steps
so that parenting is no longer “a feat but a joy.”
Doing either won’t be easy, he
suggests, but the government needs to “adapt itself to a world in which
traditional life trajectories are no longer the only possible ones,” however
much the rulers would prefer otherwise.